Enhancing Aviation Safety Analysis in MROs: A Complex Emergent Model with a Predictive Approach

Victoria Grech, Joseph Paul Zammit

2025

Abstract

This study explores the aviation industry's shift from reactive and proactive safety strategies towards predictive safety management, focusing on Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul (MRO) operations. It introduces a novel complex emergent safety model designed to integrate predictive analytics into existing Safety Management Systems (SM) via occurrence reporting data. Moving beyond traditional linear causation models, the proposed framework leverages machine learning and data mining techniques to identify hazards and assess risks, thereby reducing the frequency and severity of incidents and minimising maintenance disruptions. Using the DMADOV methodology, the study aims to extract actionable insights from unexploited safety data, despite challenges such as data quality variations and the stochastic nature of safety. Ultimately, this research advocates for a unified, AI-driven approach to enhance safety capabilities across the aviation industry.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Grech V. and Zammit J. (2025). Enhancing Aviation Safety Analysis in MROs: A Complex Emergent Model with a Predictive Approach. In Proceedings of the 17th International Joint Conference on Knowledge Discovery, Knowledge Engineering and Knowledge Management - Volume 2: KMIS; ISBN 978-989-758-769-6, SciTePress, pages 340-348. DOI: 10.5220/0013667400004000

in Bibtex Style

@conference{kmis25,
author={Victoria Grech and Joseph Zammit},
title={Enhancing Aviation Safety Analysis in MROs: A Complex Emergent Model with a Predictive Approach},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 17th International Joint Conference on Knowledge Discovery, Knowledge Engineering and Knowledge Management - Volume 2: KMIS},
year={2025},
pages={340-348},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0013667400004000},
isbn={978-989-758-769-6},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 17th International Joint Conference on Knowledge Discovery, Knowledge Engineering and Knowledge Management - Volume 2: KMIS
TI - Enhancing Aviation Safety Analysis in MROs: A Complex Emergent Model with a Predictive Approach
SN - 978-989-758-769-6
AU - Grech V.
AU - Zammit J.
PY - 2025
SP - 340
EP - 348
DO - 10.5220/0013667400004000
PB - SciTePress