Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Prediction from the Perspective of
Artificial Intelligence
Wenting Li
a
School of Medical Information and Engineering, Ningxia Medical University,
Yinchuan, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China
Keywords: Lung Cancer Diagnosis, Prediction, Artificial Intelligence.
Abstract: Lung cancer remains one of the most prevalent and lethal malignancies worldwide, making early diagnosis
and precise prediction critical for improving patient survival rates. Although conventional diagnostic
approachessuch as imaging examinations and molecular testinghave achieved certain progress, they still
exhibit limitations in early screening and complex case analysis. The integration of artificial intelligence (AI)
has brought transformative advancements to lung cancer diagnosis and treatment. This paper first examines
the pathological factors and clinical manifestations of lung cancer, followed by a discussion on the strengths
and shortcomings of traditional diagnostic methods. Subsequently, it reviews AI-based diagnostic
technologies for lung cancer, encompassing machine learning-based analytical approaches and deep learning-
based automated feature extraction techniques, while comparing their performance and applicability in
different scenarios. Finally, the study summarizes the current limitations of AI technologiesincluding strong
data dependency, insufficient model interpretability, and other challengesand explores future directions, such
as few-shot learning, multimodal data fusion, and explainable AI (XAI). The objective of this research is to
provide theoretical support and technical references for precision medicine in lung cancer, while promoting
the standardized application of AI technologies in clinical practice.
1 INTRODUCTION
In recent years, cancer has emerged as a formidable
"silent killer" among diseases, with its incidence and
mortality rates continuing to rise globally, posing a
severe threat to human health. Among malignancies,
lung cancer stands out as one of the most prevalent
and deadly worldwide. According to the 2024 global
cancer statistics released by the International Agency
for Research on Cancer (IARC), approximately 2.5
million new lung cancer cases were reported in 2022,
accounting for 12.4% of all new cancer diagnoses,
while deaths reached 1.8 million, representing 18.7%
of total cancer-related mortalityranking first in both
incidence and fatality among cancers (IARC, 2024).
Compared to the 2020 GLOBOCAN report, the 2022
figures reflect a 13.6% increase from the 2.2 million
new cases recorded two years prior (GLOBOCAN,
2020). Despite advancements in early screening (e.g.,
low-dose computed tomography, LDCT) and targeted
therapies, the insidious nature of early-stage lung
a
https://orcid.org/0009-0005-4277-7728
cancer symptoms often leads to diagnosis at advanced
stages, resulting in poor prognoses (National Lung
Screening Trial Research Team, 2011). Thus,
developing efficient and accurate early diagnostic and
risk prediction methods is critical to improving
patient survival rates.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has significantly
enhanced the accuracy and efficiency of lung cancer
diagnosis and prediction. Current research
demonstrates that deep learning-based imaging
analysis techniques (e.g., convolutional neural
networks, CNNs) can automatically detect pulmonary
nodules in CT scans with over 90% accuracy (Ardila
et al., 2019), while multimodal AI models integrating
genomics and clinical data further refine risk
stratification. However, persistent challenges include
high costs of data annotation, limited model
generalizability, and the opacity of decision-making
algorithms, which undermine clinical trust (Liu et al.,
2020). Future efforts should prioritize few-shot
learning, explainable AI (XAI), and multicenter data
Li, W.
Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Prediction from the Perspective of Artificial Intelligence.
DOI: 10.5220/0014325000004718
Paper published under CC license (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
In Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Engineering Management, Information Technology and Intelligence (EMITI 2025), pages 203-208
ISBN: 978-989-758-792-4
Proceedings Copyright © 2025 by SCITEPRESS – Science and Technology Publications, Lda.
203
validation to facilitate the standardized adoption of AI
in clinical practice. These advancements are poised to
play a pivotal role in enabling precision medicine for
lung cancer.
This review systematically examines the
pathological factors and clinical manifestations of
lung cancer, conventional diagnostic approaches, and
machine/deep learning-based diagnostic and
predictive methodologies. By evaluating the strengths
and limitations of existing techniques, this paper aims
to provide a theoretical foundation and technical
roadmap for future research in this field.
2 PATHOLOGICAL FACTORS
AND CLINICAL
MANIFESTATIONS
The pathogenesis of lung cancer involves malignant
transformation of respiratory epithelial cells, broadly
classified into small cell lung cancer (SCLC,
accounting for 15% of cases) and non-small cell lung
cancer (NSCLC, 85% of cases). Epidemiological data
from the World Health Organization underscore a
strong correlation between the rising global mortality
of lung cancer and increased tobacco consumption.
Smoking represents the predominant risk factor, with
attributable fractions far exceeding the combined
impact of all other known risk factors. The probability
of developing lung cancer exhibits a dose-dependent
relationship with both smoking duration and daily
cigarette consumption.
To elucidate the mechanistic link, early
investigators conducted experiments applying
tobacco tar to animal skin, which consistently
induced lung malignancies. These findings
implicated inhaled tar derivatives as a principal driver
of carcinogenesis. Subsequent advances enabled the
International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC)
to identify at least 50 definitive carcinogens in
tobacco products.
Among never-smokers, lung cancer demonstrates
distinct etiological and molecular profiles compared
to smoking-associated cases. These tumors may arise
through genetic predisposition or environmental
triggers. Epidemiological studies identify
secondhand smoke exposure, occupational hazards
(e.g., asbestos, particulate matter), and familial cancer
history as significant non-smoking risk factors.
Dietary patterns and pre-existing pulmonary
conditions (e.g., chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease) further modulate individual susceptibility.
Prognosis is critically dependent on the disease
stage at diagnosis, with asymptomatic screen-
detected cases demonstrating superior survival to
symptom-driven presentations. The clinical spectrum
of lung cancer reflects tumor location, size, and
metastatic spread. Early-stage disease often manifests
with non-specific symptoms including persistent
cough (particularly new-onset or worsening chronic
cough), hemoptysis, chest discomfort, and dyspnea
(American Cancer Society, 2023). Progressive local
invasion may cause hoarseness (recurrent laryngeal
nerve involvement), superior vena cava syndrome
(facial/neck edema), or dysphagia (mediastinal
lymphadenopathy) (National Cancer Institute, 2022).
Distant metastases produce target-organ dysfunction:
osseous lesions cause pathologic fractures, cerebral
metastases induce neurological deficits, and hepatic
involvement leads to jaundice (Bade & Dela Cruz,
2020).
Paraneoplastic syndromes affect 10-20% of
patients, mediated by ectopic hormone secretion or
immune cross-reactivity. These include
hypercalcemia, syndrome of inappropriate
antidiuretic hormone secretion (SIADH), and digital
clubbing (Horn et al., 2022). Given the insidious
onset, current guidelines recommend low-dose CT
screening for high-risk populations (e.g., chronic
smokers) to improve early detection rates (Mazzone
et al., 2021).
3 CONVENTIONAL
DIAGNOSTIC APPROACHES
FOR LUNG CANCER
The diagnosis of lung cancer primarily relies on a
triad of modalities: imaging studies, histopathological
examination, and molecular testing. Chest computed
tomography (CT) serves as the gold standard for both
screening and diagnostic evaluation, demonstrating
high sensitivity in detecting pulmonary nodules
(National Lung Screening Trial Research Team,
2011). For indeterminate lesions, tissue acquisition
via bronchoscopy or CT-guided biopsy remains
essential for definitive pathological diagnosis
(Detterbeck et al., 2013).
Recent advancements in liquid biopsy techniques
have revolutionized minimally invasive diagnosis
through the detection of circulating tumor DNA
(ctDNA), which additionally facilitates real-time
monitoring of therapeutic response (Abbosh et al.,
2017). In the realm of risk prediction, artificial
intelligence algorithms have demonstrated
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remarkable capability in quantifying the malignancy
probability of pulmonary nodules through
quantitative analysis of CT imaging features (Ardila
et al., 2019).
Molecular profiling of driver mutations (e.g.,
EGFR, ALK) not only informs targeted therapy
selection but also serves as a predictive biomarker for
treatment efficacy (Planchard et al., 2018).
Furthermore, integrated clinical-biomarker prediction
models such as the Brock risk calculator provide
robust individualized risk stratification (Tammemägi
et al., 2013).
The synergistic application of these
methodologies has substantially enhanced both early
detection rates and prognostic prediction accuracy in
lung cancer management.
4 ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE-BASED LUNG
CANCER DIAGNOSIS
Building upon conventional diagnostic
methodologies, the integration of artificial
intelligence (AI) technologies has markedly
enhanced both the efficiency and accuracy of lung
cancer detection. Particularly in early-stage
diagnosis, AI-driven analysis of medical imaging and
clinical data enables more sensitive and precise
assessments than traditional approaches within
constrained timeframes. Under specific clinical
scenarios, these systems have demonstrated
diagnostic performance surpassing even that of
seasoned pathologists.
4.1 Machine Learning-Based
Diagnostic Approaches
As a pivotal branch of artificial intelligence, machine
learning has been extensively implemented in
auxiliary diagnosis and predictive modeling for lung
cancer. The standardized workflow encompasses
multiple critical phases: data acquisition,
radiographic feature extraction, clinical parameter
selection, and model training - each requiring
rigorous clinical validation to ensure diagnostic
reliability.
In contrast to conventional experience-dependent
diagnostic paradigms, machine learning algorithms
enable comprehensive quantitative analysis of
multidimensional features. This computational
approach facilitates the development of more
objective and efficient predictive models while
minimizing subjective human bias. The following
section details representative clinical applications of
these methodologies.
Raut and colleagues (2021) developed an
automated lung cancer detection system employing
digital image processing and C4.5 decision tree
algorithms. Their methodology utilized CT scans
from 61 patients (converted to JPEG format),
incorporating preprocessing steps comprising
grayscale conversion, noise reduction, and Otsu's
threshold-based binarization. During feature
extraction, the system quantified tumor morphology
through area, perimeter, and eccentricity
measurements, complemented by texture analysis
using gray-level co-occurrence matrices (GLCM).
The classification model, trained on 50 images
using C4.5 decision trees, achieved 78% accuracy in
validation testing. While demonstrating reduced
interobserver variability compared to conventional
diagnostic approaches, the study acknowledged
limitations including restricted dataset size and
suboptimal generalizability. The authors suggested
potential performance improvements through either
dataset expansion or integration of deep learning
architectures (e.g., convolutional neural networks) in
future iterations (Raut et al., 2021).
Dritsas and Trigka (2022) developed a novel
machine learning framework for lung cancer risk
stratification by analyzing 15 clinical and lifestyle
parameters, including smoking status, alcohol
consumption, chronic cough, and dyspnea. Their
methodology utilized a publicly available dataset
comprising 309 participants, with class imbalance
addressed through the Synthetic Minority
Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to achieve
balanced distribution (50% cancer vs. 50% non-
cancer cases).
Through comprehensive feature importance
analysis employing Gain Ratio and Random Forest
algorithms, the study identified age, allergy history,
and alcohol consumption as the most significant
predictive factors. The researchers conducted an
extensive comparative evaluation of 14 machine
learning classifiers, including Naïve Bayes, Support
Vector Machines, and Rotation Forest. The Rotation
Forest algorithm demonstrated superior performance
across all metrics - achieving 97.1% accuracy,
precision, recall, and F1-score, along with an
exceptional 99.3% AUC value (Dritsas & Trigka,
2022).
These findings suggest robust predictive
capability for early identification of high-risk
individuals, potentially enabling timely clinical
intervention. However, the study's reliance on non-
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clinical data sources represents a notable limitation.
Future enhancements could incorporate medical
imaging data (e.g., CT scans) and deep learning
architectures to improve diagnostic precision.
Traditional machine learning pipelines typically
rely on manually engineered features, representing
shallow model architectures that often fail to capture
complex data characteristics comprehensively. In
contrast, deep learning employs an end-to-end
training paradigm that facilitates automated feature
learning.
Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), as a
representative architecture, utilize multi-layer
convolutional kernels to autonomously extract multi-
scale, high-level features. This approach effectively
addresses two critical limitations of conventional
methods: (1) excessive dependence on handcrafted
features, and (2) limited generalization capability.
These inherent advantages constitute the fundamental
superiority of deep learning over traditional machine
learning in pulmonary malignancy diagnosis.
4.2 Deep Learning-Based Diagnostic
Approaches
The advent of enhanced computational capabilities
coupled with the exponential growth of medical
imaging databases has propelled the widespread
adoption of deep learning in pulmonary oncology
diagnostics. Distinct from conventional machine
learning's reliance on handcrafted feature
engineering, deep neural architectures particularly
convolutional neural networks (CNNs)demonstrate
the superior capacity for hierarchical feature
extraction directly from raw input data. This
paradigm shift has yielded measurable improvements
in both diagnostic accuracy and model robustness
across clinical applications. Representative
implementations are discussed below.
In their comprehensive review, Wang and
colleagues (2022) systematically evaluated deep
learning applications in lung cancer diagnosis, with
particular emphasis on convolutional neural network
(CNN)-based approaches for pulmonary nodule
segmentation, detection, and classification. For
segmentation tasks, multi-view CNN (MV-CNN) and
dual-branch residual network (DB-ResNet)
architectures achieved Dice similarity coefficients
(DSC) of 77.67% and 82.74% respectively on the
LIDC-IDRI dataset. The attention-weighted
excitation U-Net (AWEU-Net) framework
demonstrated superior performance, attaining a
90.35% DSC (Cao et al., 2020; Banu et al., 2021).
Regarding nodule detection, the 3D Faster R-
CNN and YOLOv3 models yielded detection
accuracies of 81.41% and 95.17% on the LUNA16
benchmark (Zhu et al., 2017; Bu et al., 2022).
Classification performance was evaluated using
generative adversarial networks (F&BGAN) and
texture-aware CNN with transfer learning, which
achieved classification accuracies of 95.24% and
96.69% respectively on the LIDC-IDRI dataset (Zhao
et al., 2018; Ali et al., 2020).
The review highlighted the capability of 3D CNN
architectures to capture volumetric nodule
characteristics, while identifying two critical
challenges: (1) limited availability of annotated
training data, and (2) insufficient model
interpretability. Future research directions include the
development of weakly supervised learning
paradigms and the integration of clinical prior
knowledge to enhance model performance (Wang et
al., 2022).
Shah et al. (2023) proposed an ensemble learning-
based 2D convolutional neural network (CNN)
approach for detecting lung cancer nodules from CT
images. The study utilized the LUNA16 dataset and
enhanced classification performance by integrating
three distinct 2D CNN architectures (CNN1, CNN2,
and CNN3). CNN1 employed 3× 3 convolutional
kernels and max pooling, achieving an accuracy of
94.5%. CNN2 adopted 5×5 convolutional kernels
with average pooling, attaining a slightly lower
accuracy of 93.9%. CNN3 incorporated batch
normalization and a higher dropout rate (Dropout =
0.4), resulting in an accuracy of 92.8%. By fusing the
predictions of these three models through weighted
averaging, the final ensemble model achieved a
superior accuracy of 95%, with a precision of 93%
and a recall of 80%, significantly outperforming
traditional single CNN models and baseline methods
such as support vector machines and multilayer
perceptrons.
The study emphasized the critical role of data
augmentation techniques (e.g., rotation and scaling)
and image preprocessing (conversion to 50×50 pixel
JPEG format) in balancing the dataset and improving
model generalization. Future research directions
include extending the framework to 3D CNNs to
capture spatial features more effectively and
incorporating greater data diversity to further enhance
performance (Shah et al., 2023).
This integrated approach demonstrates the
potential of ensemble learning in medical image
analysis, offering a robust solution for early lung
cancer detection while addressing challenges related
to dataset imbalance and model overfitting. The
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findings underscore the importance of architectural
diversity in deep learning models and highlight
promising avenues for advancing diagnostic accuracy
in clinical settings.
5 CURRENT LIMITATIONS AND
FUTURE PERSPECTIVES
In the field of medical diagnosis, deep learning
models have demonstrated remarkable efficiency in
analyzing medical imaging data; however, their
performance heavily relies on large-scale, well-
annotated datasets. Research indicates that when
training data is insufficient or biased, the model's
generalization capability significantly deteriorates.
Moreover, most existing AI systems operate as
"black-box" models, lacking interpretability, which
limits clinicians' trust in diagnostic outcomes. In
terms of prognosis prediction, while AI can integrate
multi-omics data to construct predictive models,
variations in data standards and acquisition protocols
across medical institutions hinder the model's
performance in cross-center applications.
Current technologies also face several critical
limitations. First, most AI systems are optimized for
single-modality data (e.g., CT images), making it
difficult to comprehensively capture the complex
biological characteristics of lung cancer. Second, the
sensitivity of existing algorithms in detecting early-
stage lung cancer particularly for atypical
manifestations such as ground-glass nodulesremains
suboptimal and requires further improvement.
Additionally, ethical concerns, including data privacy
protection and algorithmic bias, demand special
attention.
Looking ahead, several key research directions
warrant focus. First, the development of few-shot
learning algorithms could reduce reliance on large
annotated datasets. Second, the construction of
multimodal fusion systems integrating imaging,
pathology, genomic, and clinical data may enhance
diagnostic accuracy. Third, advancements in
explainable AI (XAI) techniques are essential to
improve model transparency. Fourth, standardized
evaluation frameworks must be established to
validate AI systems in real-world clinical settings.
Finally, interdisciplinary collaboration should be
strengthened to formulate ethical guidelines for AI
applications.
As technology continues to evolve, AI is expected
to become a crucial decision-support tool in lung
cancer diagnosis and treatment. However, it must be
emphasized that AI will not replace physicians but
rather serve as a "second opinion" to assist clinical
decision-making. Future research should prioritize
overcoming existing limitations to advance AI toward
greater precision and reliability in healthcare
applications.
6 CONCLUSIONS
As one of the most prevalent and lethal malignancies
worldwide, lung cancer demands precise early
diagnosis and accurate risk stratification to improve
patient outcomes. While conventional diagnostic
methods have demonstrated clinical utility, they
remain constrained by limitations in early-stage
detection and complex case analysis. The integration
of artificial intelligence (AI) has introduced
transformative advancements in pulmonary
oncology. Machine learning-based models have
enhanced diagnostic objectivity and efficiency
through quantitative analysis of clinical and imaging
biomarkers, while deep learning architectures
particularly convolutional neural networks (CNNs)
have achieved superior performance in nodule
detection and classification via automated multi-scale
feature extraction.
Nevertheless, significant challenges persist in
clinical AI implementation. First, model performance
exhibits a strong dependence on large-scale annotated
datasets, which are costly to produce and vulnerable
to sampling bias, ultimately compromising
generalizability. Second, the opaque decision-making
processes characteristic of current systems ("black-
box" problem) undermine clinician trust and hinder
real-world adoption. Additional concerns include
inadequate multimodal data integration, suboptimal
sensitivity for early-stage malignancies, and
unresolved ethical considerations regarding data
privacy and algorithmic fairness.
Future research should prioritize: (1) development
of few-shot learning techniques to minimize
annotation dependency; (2) construction of
multimodal frameworks incorporating imaging,
genomic, and clinical data for comprehensive
biological characterization; (3) advancement of
explainable AI (XAI) methodologies to improve
model interpretability; and (4) establishment of
standardized evaluation protocols for clinical
validation. Furthermore, interdisciplinary
collaboration and ethical guideline development will
be critical to ensuring responsible AI deployment.
In summary, while AI demonstrates considerable
potential as a decision-support tool in pulmonary
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oncology, its fundamental role remains
complementary torather than substitutive ofclinical
expertise. Through continued technological
refinement and systematic addressing of current
limitations, AI is positioned to become a cornerstone
of precision oncology, ultimately improving both
survival outcomes and quality of life for patients
worldwide.
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