2 THE HISTORY AND
INFLUENCING FACTORS OF
LOSS AVERSION
Since Thaler introduced it to decision theory in 1980,
loss aversion has gradually become key to
understanding human behavior. Kahneman's,
Knetsch's, and Thaler's cup experiments, as well as
Tversky's and Kahneman's in-depth studies, have
confirmed the existence and impact of this
phenomenon. It shows up not only in transactions, but
also in consumers' sensitive reactions to price
fluctuations, especially strong reactions to price
increases. So what factors shape the loss aversion?
Let's take a closer look at how reference dependency,
emotional influence, and risk attitudes work together
to shape the decision-making process.
2.1 A Brief History of Loss Aversion
Thaler was the first to extend the concept of loss
aversion to risk-free decision-making, arguing that
the valuation of gaining an item is much smaller than
the valuation of losing the same item. Loss aversion
is also used to explain the endowment effect.
Kahneman, Knetsch, and Thaler's (1990) cup study
provided more evidence for their research and linked
it to loss aversion. Tversky and Kahneman (1991)
reviewed the evidence and formally dealt with loss
aversion. Since then, many studies have found loss
aversion in trading (
Kahneman & Tversky, 2013). In
addition, loss aversion is also reflected in consumers'
sensitivity to price changes. They react more strongly
to rising prices than to falling prices. This effect
applies even when people have never owned goods,
such as choices in decision-making.
2.2 Influencing Factor
The influencing factors of loss aversion mainly
involve the following three aspects:
Reference dependence: Loss aversion is closely
related to an individual's reference point. Reference
points are benchmarks against which individuals
assess their gains and losses, most commonly their
current state or desired state. When people face the
phenomenon of "loss aversion", they are more
inclined to give more weight to their losses, even if
the losses and gains are objectively equivalent. At the
same time, the evaluation of the decision will
overemphasize the loss caused by the decision. If the
reference point is identified as the current state of the
individual, then any loss can cause the state to drop,
triggering a stronger negative response. But if the
reference point is taken as an individual's desired
state, then the loss can be seen as a defeat for not
meeting expectations and can also cause strong
negative emotions. Loss aversion is therefore easily
influenced by an individual's choice of reference
point (
Kahneman & Tversky, 1979).
Emotional impact: Losses often elicit strong
negative emotional responses, such as fear and upset.
Gains, on the other hand, cause less emotional
upheaval. Regret is a negative, cognitively
determined emotion that people experience when
realizing or imagining that the present situation would
have been better, had they acted differently
(Zeelenberg 1996, p. 6) This emotional asymmetry
is an important factor in loss aversion. It is
psychological phenomenon where people would
rather avoid a loss than gain an equal amount. When
it comes to decision-making, people's strong
emotional reactions to potential losses can lead
individuals to make risk-averse decisions, potentially
missing out on opportunities to gain. People who
repeatedly experience loss can lead to changes in
behavior, may become more conservative, and even
begin to avoid situations where loss might occur
(
Loewenstein, 1996).
Risk attitude: Loss aversion affects an individual's
attitude towards risk. In the face of losses, people tend
to show higher risk aversion,fearing of losing money
or other resources can lead people to make more
conservative decisions. Therefore, they are reluctant
to engage in activities that may lead to loss. In the face
of returns, people may show a higher appetite for risk.
The prospect of profit makes them more willing to
take on additional risk, because the likelihood of a
positive outcome may outweigh the fear of a negative
outcome. This could lead to more risky and
aggressive investment strategies. For example, when
it comes to decision making, a loss-averse investor
may avoid investments with larger moves, preferring
safer and more stable investments. In terms of
strategy, entrepreneurs may be more cautious when
pursuing new ventures (
Tversky & Kahneman, 1991).