Perception of Climate Change and Settlement Density as the Cause of
Flooding in Bungurasih Waru Sidoarjo
Nugroho Hari Purnomo
1 a
, Muzayanah
1 b
, Mohd Azmeer Abu Bakar
1
, Lidya Lestari Sitohang
2
,
Aida Kurniawati
1
, Dian Ayu Larasati
1
, Ita Mardiani Zein
1
and Eko Budiyanto
1
1
Geography Education, Universitas Negeri Surabaya, Ketintang, Surabaya, Indonesia
2
School of Humanities, Universiti Sains Malaysia
Keywords: Climate Change, Floods, Dense Settlements.
Abstract: This study focuses on the high risk of flooding in Waru Village, Sidoarjo, caused by the overflow of the
Buntung River, Sidoarjo. This condition is exacerbated by climate change and housing density. This study
aims to analyze public perceptions related to climate change, hot temperatures and land development as
contributors to flooding. This study is an urgent need to increase public awareness of disaster risks, especially
those related to flooding and is important for disaster mitigation and adaptation. This study contributes to the
academic field by filling the gap in understanding how public perceptions of climate change relate to everyday
life experiences, especially flooding and hot temperatures. The results of the study indicate that the flooding
experienced by the Bungurasih Village community in Sidoarjo formed a high public perception of the
statement that climate change causes natural disasters, one of which is flooding. The community has a high
perception that one of the causes of flooding is land development, which worsens flood conditions.
1 INTRODUCTION
Climate change has a global impact, affecting various
aspects of the environment in both urban and rural
areas. In urban areas, climate change increases the
urban heat island phenomenon, which is an increase
in temperature in densely populated areas due to
reduced green space and changes in land use
(Lasaiba, 2022). Meanwhile, in rural areas, climate
change is often associated with increasing levels of
poverty (Sunito, et al., 2019). Coastal communities
face the threat of rising sea levels that slow water
flow, causing a higher risk of flooding for urban
residents with dense and irregular settlements (Ulfa,
2018). Climate change has a direct impact on the
urban poor, who are characterized by dense and
irregular settlements that respond to high rainfall and
cause flooding (Adib, 2014).
Views on climate change vary widely across
different levels of society. Elite groups, such as
scientists, educated people, and policy makers, tend
to understand climate change as changes in the
a
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4404-5318
b
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7848-4605
pattern and intensity of climate elements compared
over a certain period of time, usually 30 years. In
contrast, the general public more often associates
climate change with changes in land use and natural
phenomena that they experience directly, such as
floods and droughts (Aldrian, E. Karmini, M.
Budiman, 2011). Community understanding of
climate change is influenced by their real experiences
of the impacts of disasters in their environment, in
contrast to scientific understanding which is more
abstract and comprehensive (Handoko, et al., 2018).
In his study of the impacts of climate change from a
community perspective, Handoko conducted an
analysis of community perceptions of climate change
by considering aspects of community exposure to
floods and droughts in their daily lives. In other
words, understanding of climate change has different
characteristics where at the elite level the emphasis is
on comprehensive insight, while climate change at
the community level is a concrete experience of
disasters in the environment in which they live.
Recent observations indicate that the impacts of
climate change are becoming more frequent and
348
Purnomo, N. H., Muzayanah, , Bakar, M. A. A., Sitohang, L. L., Kurniawati, A., Larasati, D. A., Zein, I. M. and Budiyanto, E.
Perception of Climate Change and Settlement Density as the Cause of Flooding in Bungurasih Waru Sidoarjo.
DOI: 10.5220/0013419700004654
In Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Humanities Education, Law, and Social Science (ICHELS 2024), pages 348-353
ISBN: 978-989-758-752-8
Copyright © 2025 by Paper published under CC license (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)
extreme, increasing the need for community
resilience to disasters. However, communities are
often reluctant to adapt or mitigate if they are not
provided with adequate information about the
impacts of climate change (Gemeda, et al. 2023).
Perceptions and beliefs about climate change play an
important role in driving the adaptation process that
will be carried out by communities (Cohen, et al.
2019). Boon-Falleur, 2022, emphasizes the
importance of social cognitive mechanisms, such as
norms, reputation, and justice, in building effective
climate change awareness (Boon-Falleur, et al.,
2022). The way relationships between humans work
can be viewed from three social cognitive
mechanisms, namely norms, reputation management,
and justice calculations. The relationship between the
three will determine effective mitigation.
This also occurs in several regions in Indonesia.
Previous research by Handoko, et al in Batanghari
village showed that community perception of the
phenomenon of climate change is understood in
relation to changes in land use. Their understanding
of climate change is associated with flooding and
drought events (Handoko, et al, 2018). The results of
this study are interesting because the idea of climate
change that is discussed massively and widely by
elites is understood using direct experience by the
community. However, there are limitations in this
study, namely that it does not specifically discuss
community perceptions of climate change using
temperature parameters. This is important
considering that the issue of climate change is
understood using generalizations of numerical data or
without including a description of in-depth insight
into how climate change occurs when narrated. This
research proposal aims to fill this gap.
Several studies have been conducted by other
researchers to analyze the community aspect in
dealing with flood disasters. The studies consist of
identifying the level of flood hazard (Bertilsson et al.,
2019), characterizing the flood resilience of urban
communities (Fristyananda & Idajati. 2017),
increasing community resilience to floods (Auladi, et
al, 2022). In general, community and stakeholder
aspects are linked to adaptation and mitigation of
flood disasters (Bakar, et al, 2018; Isa et al., 2013).
Based on this background, the formulation of the
problem in this study is how is the level of community
perception of climate change and land development
that causes flooding in Bungurasih Waru Sidoarjo?
There has not been much literature on the
parameters of land development and flooding in
analyzing the impact of climate change. Most of the
literature related to community and stakeholder
aspects is linked to adaptation and mitigation of flood
disasters ((Bakar, et al, 2018; Isa et al., 2013). The
advantage of the study developed in this study is the
regional context, specifically the peri-urban area in
linking climate change, flooding, land changes and
community perception.
2 METHOD
This study was conducted in Waru Village, Waru
District, Sidoarjo Regency, with a population living
in a densely populated area close to industrial areas,
provincial bus terminals, and various business
services. These conditions make the community
vulnerable to flooding, and previous flood
experiences play a role in shaping their resilience.
This study uses a descriptive method to provide
an overview of community perceptions regarding
climate change and land development as causes of
flooding. A survey approach was used to collect data
from a sample of individuals representing the village
population. The survey was conducted by filling out
a questionnaire by respondents with researcher
guidance and researcher observations at the flood
location.
The study population was heads of families
living in Waru Village, with adult family members
selected as representatives. The number of samples
was 30% of the entire population, resulting in 48
respondents. The sample selection used proportional
and incidental sampling techniques so that the
representation of respondents was evenly distributed
throughout Waru Village, Sidoarjo.
The primary data collected included the
characteristics of respondents and their perceptions of
climate change and land development factors that
were considered to cause flooding. Each perception
was analyzed quantitatively with a Likert scale to
obtain interpretations based on low, medium, or high
categories.
Primary data collected included the
characteristics of respondents and their perceptions of
climate change and land development factors that are
considered to cause flooding. Each perception was
analyzed quantitatively with a Likert scale to obtain
an interpretation based on the categories of low,
medium, or high. The questions given were:
1. Education
2. Occupation
3. Information on disasters and climate change
a. Source of information on the term climate
change
b. The word climate change
Perception of Climate Change and Settlement Density as the Cause of Flooding in Bungurasih Waru Sidoarjo
349
4. Perceptions related to climate change events
(Likert), with the questions:
a. Increased daily temperatures
b. Heavy rain events
c. Tornado events
d. Dengue fever events
5. Perception that climate change causes hot
temperatures (Likert), with the questions:
a. The increase in industrial buildings pollutes the
air so that rain becomes heavier
b. The density of motor vehicles pollutes the air so
that rain becomes heavier
c. From year to year, the rainfall that occurs is
getting heavier
d. Sea level rise at the mouth of Kali Buntung, so
that water does not flow quickly to the sea
6. Perception that land development is the cause of
flooding (Likert), with questions
a. The addition of buildings causes water not to
seep into the ground
b. The addition of buildings causes drainage to
become narrow
c. The addition of buildings causes shallowing and
blockage of river flow
d. The addition of buildings without considering
drainage aspects
The Likert scale used is (1) strongly disagree; (2)
disagree; (3) doubtful; (4) agree and (5) strongly
agree. Each perception is divided into 5 interpretation
criteria scores, namely: (1) Weak: 0 - 33%; (2)
Medium: 34% - 67%; (3) Strong: 68% - 100%.
3 RESULT AND DISCUSSION
3.1 Respondent Profile
The age range of respondents in this study ranged
from 21 to 80 years, with an average age of 51 years.
Most respondents were graduates of
SMA/SMK/MAN or equivalent (54%), while 13%
had a bachelor's degree. The composition of
respondents' jobs varied; as many as 29% were
unemployed and depended on support from their
working children, while the rest worked as laborers,
self-employed, employees, and others, as presented in
Figure 1.
The respondents' jobs are quite diverse with the
composition as presented in Figure 2. As many as
29% of respondents do not work, they rely on their
children who work to support themselves.
Figure 1: Respondent's education level.
Figure 2: Respondent's job.
3.2 Disaster and Climate Change
Information
3.2.1 Floods
Most respondents in Bungurasih Village, Sidoarjo
have experienced floods. From the survey results,
only 1 respondent reported not experiencing flooding
because the floor height of his house was higher than
other houses. As many as 94% of respondents
experienced flooding with varying levels of
inundation; 44% stated that they experienced
moderate inundation, and 42% experienced low
inundation, as presented in Figure 3 below.
Figure 3: Flood incident.
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350
3.2.2 the Term “Climate Change
A total of 84.5% of respondents have heard the term
"climate change." The majority get information from
social media such as YouTube, television, and
messaging applications (52%), while 16.7% from
other social media such as Facebook and Instagram.
This is in line with Anderson's research (2017), which
states that social media makes it easier for people to
access the latest information related to climate change
from various trusted sources, including scientists and
environmental journalists (Anderson, 2017).
Figure 4: Respondents' perceptions regarding the term
‘‘climate changeand sources of information.
One of the issues spread by social media is
climate change. Social media helps increase public
knowledge about climate change by providing factual
and scientifically based information that is easily
accessible (Anderson, 2017). This visual content
tends to be more effective in arousing emotions and
raising awareness than text alone. Through engaging
visualizations and narratives, social media has
succeeded in strengthening public perception that
climate change is an urgent problem that requires
immediate action (Leiserowitz, et al,. 2020).
3.2.3 Public Perception of Disasters That
Occur with Climate Change
The results of the public perception survey on disaster
events with climate change are presented in Figure 5
below:
Figure 5: Respondents' perceptions of disasters caused by
climate change.
The results of the study showed that public
perception of climate change as a cause of disasters is
quite high. Around 80% of respondents have a strong
perception that climate change has a direct impact on
disasters, especially floods. This finding is in line
with Nurhayati, et al., 2020. which revealed that
although public understanding of climate change is
still limited, they are aware of its impact on daily life.
Communities who feel the impact of climate change
are usually people who depend on natural conditions
for their livelihoods, such as farmers. Some people
understand that climate change that has occurred over
the past few decades is caused by human activities.
The level of public perception and knowledge
influences the strategies used to deal with the
negative impacts of climate change.
3.2.4 Public Perception That Climate
Change Is the Cause of Flooding
Public perception of the statement that climate change
is the cause of flooding is presented in Figure 6
below:
Figure 6: Respondents' perception that climate change is a
cause of flooding.
The results of the study showed that respondents'
perceptions of climate change as a cause of flooding
were high, 70%. People who had medium perceptions
were 20% and people who had low perceptions were
10%. With a maximum score of 144, the score
obtained was 111, so the average score percentage
was 77.10%. This value is included in the Strengh
score.
The results of this study are supported by the
direct experience of the Bungurasih Sidoarjo village
community with the flood disaster. Floods play a
major role in shaping people's perceptions of climate
change. Studies show that people who have
experienced disasters tend to believe more in the
relationship between the disaster and climate change,
compared to those who have not had similar
experiences (Spence, et al., 2011). When people
experience the direct impact of this extreme event,
they find it easier to understand the actual impact of
climate change.
Perception of Climate Change and Settlement Density as the Cause of Flooding in Bungurasih Waru Sidoarjo
351
3.2.5 Public Perception That Land
Development Is a Cause of Flooding
The public perception that land development is a
cause of flooding is presented in Figure 7 below:
Figure 7: Respondents' perception that land development is
a cause of flooding.
The tabulation results show that respondents'
perceptions of land development as a cause of high
flooding are 83%. Medium perception is 11% and low
perception is 6%. With a maximum score of 144 and
a score of 123, the average score percentage is
85.42%. This value is included in the Strength score.
Most respondents (83%) have a high perception
that land development worsens the risk of flooding.
When green spaces and open land are converted into
commercial or residential buildings, the soil's ability
to absorb rainwater is drastically reduced, increasing
the potential for flooding. This perception is
supported by the direct experience of people living in
flood-prone areas, as well as previous studies
showing a link between land development and high
flood risk in urban areas (Wang, et al., 2018; Jha, et
al., 2012).
In the urban context, public perceptions of
flooding are often related to the inability of drainage
infrastructure to accommodate increased water flow
due to land development. A study by Jha, et al., 2012.,
noted that people in large cities such as Jakarta and
Bangkok realized that drainage systems that were not
in accordance with capacity were the main cause of
flooding. They also mentioned that building
construction that reduces the water percolation area
increases the burden on the drainage system, causing
flooding in the rainy season.
In addition, public perception of land
development as a cause of flooding is often reinforced
by the socio-economic impacts caused by flooding.
When flooding causes major losses to residents, both
in terms of economy and social life, people tend to be
more critical of development policies that do not pay
attention to environmental impacts. Research by
Samwinga, 2009, found that the perception of flood
risk and losses experienced by urban communities
increased their awareness of the importance of
maintaining water catchment areas and supporting
environmentally friendly development.
The study of community perceptions of flood
disasters is important in determining their support for
adaptation policies taken by the government.
Communities tend to be more supportive of
government policies aimed at increasing resilience to
climate risks, if they believe that climate change will
have a serious impact on their lives. In other words, a
strong perception of the urgency of climate change
can lead communities to encourage collective action,
support and actively participate in policies related to
climate mitigation and adaptation [23]. This is
evidenced by the active participation of the Waru
Village community in assisting the East Java Public
Works and Water Resources Agency (PU-SDA)
during the normalization of the Kali Buntung River
which was carried out in early 2024. The community
also helped clean up garbage and water hyacinth
along the Kali Buntung River, Waru Bungurasih
Village.
4 CONCLUSIONS
The results of this study indicate that the community
in Bungurasih Village, Sidoarjo, has a strong
perception that climate change plays an important
role in increasing the risk of flooding. High public
perception of the importance of climate change and
its impacts can encourage collective action to support
government policies in climate change mitigation and
adaptation. With increasing public awareness of the
dangers of climate change, it is hoped that the
community will be more proactive in supporting
sustainable environmental policies. Further research
is needed related to perceptions, knowledge and
community participation in areas experiencing
flooding, so that there is learning from one area to
another.
5 RESEARCH LIMITATIONS
Based on the researcher's direct experience in this
research process, there are limitations that are
experienced and need to be considered by future
researchers in perfecting the research results. Some
limitations in this study are:
1. The number of respondents is 48 people, of course
it is still not enough to describe the real perception
of the community.
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2. This study has not examined community
knowledge about flood mitigation and adaptation.
This study is useful for providing suggestions or
programs to improve community understanding
and readiness in dealing with floods at the research
location.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We would like to thank the Faculty of Social and
Political Sciences, Surabaya State University for
funding this research.
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