
 
Figure 1: Solving the prognostication problem from known to present events (innovative technologies and new training 
conditions are included in 2016). 
coefficients of which are calculated by the program 
when solving the problem of computer modeling. 
4  CONCLUSIONS 
When  using  developed  pedagogic  methods  for 
increasing  the  training  process  efficiency: 
implementation  of  individual-oriented  approach  to 
selection of training  means and  methods,  optimum 
selection  of  physical  stress  in  accordance  with 
sportsmen’  individual  resources,  continuous 
methodical  support  of  the  training  process  with 
trainer's participation, criterion conditions presented 
in Tables 2 and 3 will be met (Bolotin and Bakayev, 
2016; Bolotin and Bakayev, 2017). 
Figure  1  presents  forecasting  results  for  2018 
with  existing  organization  of  the  training  process 
and in case of introduction of the innovative training 
methods  suggested  by  us  (meeting  conditions  of 
Tables  2  and  3).  Figure  shows  sportsmen  number 
dynamics with the standard training system and the 
prognostication result in case of introduction of the 
innovative training process technologies in 2018. 
The  use  of  simulation  modeling has  shown  the 
high efficiency  for solving the problem of training 
process prognostication in hammer throwers taking 
into account peculiarities of their stress adaptation. It 
is  found  that  if  limitations  for  controlling  and 
controlled  parameters  of  the  training  process  of 
hammer  throwers  are  set  the  problem  for 
prognostication  of  training  efficiency  has  solution. 
Maximization  of  the  number  of  hammer  throwers 
who fulfilled the qualification norm successfully for 
participation  in  the  international  competitions  was 
the target function for solving our problem. 
 
 
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1
0,85
0,75
0,7
0,67
1
0,85
0,75
0,6
0,32
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Standardized sportsmen 
number
Years
New conditions
Innovative
Standard
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