Authors:
Karolina Ketova
and
Daiana Vavilova
Affiliation:
Department of Applied Mathematics and Information Technologies, Kalashnikov Izhevsk State Technical University, Studencheskaya Street, Izhevsk, Russia, Russian Federation
Keyword(s):
Regional Socio-Economic System, Economic-Mathematical Modeling, Investments, Sustainable Development Trajectories, Effective Volume of Labor Resources.
Abstract:
The article is solved the problem of constructing sustainable development trajectories of the socio-economic
system on the example one of the regions of the Russian Federation. The problem is formulated on the basis
of a dynamic macro-model of the regional economy, where the development factors are productive capital
and effective volume of labor resources. The effective volume of labor resources is a synergy of the quantity
of the factor (the number of labor resources) and the quality of the factor (the employee's labor efficiency).
The produced at the macro level product is allocated to investments in maintaining and expanding productive
capital, labor resources, and consumption in the macroeconomic regional system. The inclusion of the factor
of the effective volume of labor resources in the macro model is a distinctive feature of this management
problem statement. The solving the problem algorithm is to build trajectories of sustainable economic
development: the trajecto
ries of balanced sustainable growth and the optimal trajectory of the socio-economic
system, which put this system on the trajectory of balanced sustainable growth. The statistical base of the
calculations is the demography data, the volumes of investment in the production and social-educational
sphere of the Udmurt Republic. To solve the problem of identifying unknown parameters of the model, the
period 2000-2019 is used. The optimal investment rates are calculated to allow the economic system to reach
the trajectory of balanced sustainable growth by 2025. The proposed methodology can be used to build
trajectories of sustainable development of socio-economic systems, as well as to conduct parametric model
calculations to identify factors of sustainable economic growth.
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