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Authors: Etienne Vincent and Michelle Straver

Affiliation: Director General Military Personnel Research and Analysis, Department of National Defence, 101Colonel By Drive, Ottawa, Canada

Keyword(s): Markov Manpower Model, Monte Carlo Simulation, Training Pipeline, Military Establishment, Personnel Operations Research, Workforce Analytics.

Abstract: This paper addresses the problem of deciding how many positions to set aside, in a military establishment, for recruits undergoing training. We assume a cap on total strength, and thus must select a ratio between positions in the force’s training pipeline versus its trained establishment. We develop a Markovian model of the training pipeline, with parameters derived from historical Human Resources data. Through Monte Carlo simulation we may then predict how often a given ratio will be sufficient to generate the required trained force, as well as how much surplus trained personnel it is expected to generate. Our modelling results have informed ongoing initiatives to optimize the force mix and structure of the Canadian Armed Forces.

CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

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Paper citation in several formats:
Vincent, E. and Straver, M. (2021). Determining the Required Size of a Military Training Pipeline. In Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Operations Research and Enterprise Systems - ICORES, ISBN 978-989-758-485-5; ISSN 2184-4372, pages 358-365. DOI: 10.5220/0010249503580365

@conference{icores21,
author={Etienne Vincent. and Michelle Straver.},
title={Determining the Required Size of a Military Training Pipeline},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Operations Research and Enterprise Systems - ICORES,},
year={2021},
pages={358-365},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0010249503580365},
isbn={978-989-758-485-5},
issn={2184-4372},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Operations Research and Enterprise Systems - ICORES,
TI - Determining the Required Size of a Military Training Pipeline
SN - 978-989-758-485-5
IS - 2184-4372
AU - Vincent, E.
AU - Straver, M.
PY - 2021
SP - 358
EP - 365
DO - 10.5220/0010249503580365

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