Authors:
Riko Hendrawan
;
Palti M.T. Sitorus
and
Ernest L.P. Siagian
Affiliation:
Management of Business and Economics Faculty of Telkom University, Bojongsoang, Bandung, Indonesia, Indonesia
Keyword(s):
Fair Value, Free Cash Flow to Firm, Market Price, Overvalued, Relative Valuation, Undervalued
Abstract:
Investment in the form of shares of stock valuation analysis is required to estimate the intrinsic value or a reasonable price of the stocks based on fundamental data. The objective of this study was to valuate the intrinsic value of stock price at Property and Real Estate Companies listed on IDX 2018. The valuation was carried out comprehensively by using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method of Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) approach, and to validate the results this study used the Relative Valuation method with Price to Earnings Ratio (PER) and Price to Book Value (PBV) approaches. The methods were applied in three scenarios of pessimistic, moderate and optimistic with the historical data of the companies from 2013 to 2017 as the basis for the projections of the 2018-2022 period. By comparing the results of the fair value of the stocks in the market on January 1, 2018, the DCF-FCFF method concluded that CTRA was undervalued in all scenario, while LPKR and BSDE were overvalued in all sc
enario. The PER and PBV analysis found that all evaluated stocks within the industry ranged. It means that the valuation results are correct. Therefore, in conclusion, this study recommends to sell LPKR and BSDE shares and buy CTRA shares.
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