Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia

Yudhi Wibowo, Nendyah Roestijawati, Atik C. Hidajah, Agoes Y. Purnomo, Tutiek Herlina

Abstract

Covid-19 has been rapidly spreading to various regions in Indonesia including to Magetan District which has the 3rd highest cases (0.91%) in East Java Province. This study was aimed to determine the characteristics, effective reproduction number (Rt) and spatial modelling of Covid-19 spread in the Magetan District. This was a cross-sectional study which included 43 patients with confirmed Covid-19. Univariate analysis was used to describe the characteristics of Covid-19. Epiestim was used to calculate Rt while the spread of Covid-19 cases was spatially modelled using Crimestat. On June 28, 2020, Magetan had 96 suspected cases, 104 confirmed cases with 75 cases were recovered and 4 people died. Most of the confirmed cases were at the age group of 40-49 years (22.6%), male (54%), and symptomatic (91.5%). Fever was the most commonly found symptom (81.7%). The Rt for the period March 10, 2020-June 28, 2020 was 1.27 (0.85-1.82; 95% CrI). Spatial analysis showed that the distribution of confirmed cases was widespread in 15 sub-districts. The Covid-19 outbreak was still out of control and still ongoing in Magetan. Therefore, a strong implementation of health protocol is recommended.

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Paper Citation


in Harvard Style

Wibowo Y., Roestijawati N., Hidajah A., Purnomo A. and Herlina T. (2020). Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia.In Proceedings of the 1st Jenderal Soedirman International Medical Conference in conjunction with the 5th Annual Scientific Meeting (Temilnas) Consortium of Biomedical Science Indonesia - Volume 1: JIMC, ISBN 978-989-758-499-2, pages 21-27. DOI: 10.5220/0010487100210027


in Bibtex Style

@conference{jimc20,
author={Yudhi Wibowo and Nendyah Roestijawati and Atik C. Hidajah and Agoes Y. Purnomo and Tutiek Herlina},
title={Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 1st Jenderal Soedirman International Medical Conference in conjunction with the 5th Annual Scientific Meeting (Temilnas) Consortium of Biomedical Science Indonesia - Volume 1: JIMC,},
year={2020},
pages={21-27},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0010487100210027},
isbn={978-989-758-499-2},
}


in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 1st Jenderal Soedirman International Medical Conference in conjunction with the 5th Annual Scientific Meeting (Temilnas) Consortium of Biomedical Science Indonesia - Volume 1: JIMC,
TI - Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia
SN - 978-989-758-499-2
AU - Wibowo Y.
AU - Roestijawati N.
AU - Hidajah A.
AU - Purnomo A.
AU - Herlina T.
PY - 2020
SP - 21
EP - 27
DO - 10.5220/0010487100210027