Gap Processes for Analysing Buyers’ Burstiness in E-Business Process
Andreas Ahrens and Jelena Zaš
ˇ
cerinska
Hochschule Wismar, University of Technology, Business and Design
Philipp-Müller-Straße 14, 23966 Wismar, Germany
Keywords:
E-Business Process, Buyers’ B urstiness, Gap P r ocesses, Binary Customer Behaviour.
Abstract:
Success of e-business process requires analysis of buyers’ burstiness. The research question is as follows: H ow
to describe buyers’ burstiness in e-business by a mathematical model? The aim of the research is to provide
a mathematical model for evaluation of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process. In this work the buyers’
burstiness in e-business process is described by a mathematical concept based on gap processes. Therefore,
the meaning of the key concepts of buyers’ burstiness, binary customer behavior and gap processes is studied.
Moreover, the analysis demonstrates how the key concepts are related to the idea of e-business process and
shows a potential model for development, indicating how the steps of the process are related following a
logical chain: conceptual framework model development empirical study conclusions. The results
of the present research show the model for evaluation of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process. The model
itself is based on the assumption that the gaps between two buyers are statistically independent from each
other. The novel contribution of t he paper is revealed in the newl y created mathematical model for evaluation
of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process via gap processes.
1 INTRODUCTION
The phenomenon of burstiness attracts more and mo re
research efforts as it influences the flow of a number
of processes including e-business. It should be noted
that th e flow of e-business process is permanently op -
timized in order to increase the profit (Ahrens et al.,
2015a ). Optimization of e-business process implies
choices about quantity of goods to be delivered, num-
ber of the staff to be employed as highlighted in
(Ahrens et a l., 2015a ), goods’ pricing, goods dis-
counts, computer software to be installed, network-
ing between a business company and its customers
to be established, etc. Additionally, such a result of
business process as purchase and/or sale of a good or
service indicates the output of this process. By phe-
nomenon’s burstiness, intervals of high-activity al-
ternating with long low-activity periods are meant.
Tab. 1 demonstrates the pheno menon of burstiness in
a range of scientific fields.
Beginning in 1960 Gilbert presented the first
model in telec ommun ications which emphasized that
bit errors occurred in bundles or, in other words,
bursts (Gilbert, 1960; Elliott, 1963). Since then, the
issues of a general procedure to evaluate the perfor-
mance or, in other words, e-business process in the
present research, as well as a basic set of parameters
or, in other words, criteria, are still relevant today.
In business including e-business, burstiness of
workload is traditionally analyzed (Heinrich, 2014).
However, the paradigm has changed from an input
based business process or, in other words, burstiness
of workload to an outcome based process o r, in other
words, burstiness of buyers (Ahrens et al., 2015a).
The shift from analysis of burstiness of workload
to evaluation of burstiness of buyers allows increas-
ing the efficiency of e-business process and, conse-
quently, e-business profit. It should be noted that the
concept burstiness of buyers is developed by the inter-
national group of researchers such as Ahrens, Purvi-
nis, Zaš
ˇ
cerinska, Andre eva ( A hrens et al., 2015a).
The previous work in the field of burstiness of buy-
ers includes elaboration of a concep tual framework on
criteria for qualitative decisions in business (Ahr ens
et al., 2015b), mathematical analysis of gap pr ocesses
underpinning elabor ation of a simulation model of b i-
nary customer behaviour within business related pro -
cesses (Ahrens et al. , 2015a), d esign of a simulatio n
model of binary customer behaviour in a bursty busi-
ness process b a sed on gap processes (Ahren s et al.,
2016).
The research question is as follows: How to de-
scribe buyers’ burstiness in e-business by a mathemat-
ical model?
78
Ahrens, A. and Zascerinska, J.
Gap Processes for Analysing Buyers’ Burstiness in E-Business Process.
DOI: 10.5220/0005957900780085
In Proceedings of the 13th International Joint Conference on e-Business and Telecommunications (ICETE 2016) - Volume 2: ICE-B, pages 78-85
ISBN: 978-989-758-196-0
Copyright
c
2016 by SCITEPRESS Science and Technology Publications, Lda. All rights reserved
Table 1: Burstiness in different scientific fields
Scientific field Phenomenon of burstiness
Telecommunications Burstiness of bit-e rrors in data transmission
Economics Burstiness of crises
Natural sciences Burstiness of disasters or earthquakes
Logistics Burstiness of traffic
Social media Burstiness of hot topic, keyword or event
Business Burstiness of workload
E-Business Burstiness of buyers
The aim of the research is to provide a mathemat-
ical model fo r evaluation of buyers’ burstiness in e-
business process. The novel contribution of the paper
is revealed in the newly created mathematical model
for evaluation of buyers’ burstiness in e-business pro-
cess via gap processes. For the model elabora tion, the
meaning of the key concepts of buyers’ burstiness, bi-
nary customer behavior and gap processes is studied.
Moreover, the analysis demonstrates how the key con-
cepts are related to the idea of e-business process and
shows a potential model for development, indicating
how the steps of th e process are related following a
logical chain: conceptual framework model devel-
opment empirical study con clusions.
The present contribution employs interdisci-
plinary research as it assists in synthe sizing, c onnect-
ing and blending ideas, data and information, meth-
ods, tools, concepts, and/or theories from two or more
disciplines in order to make whole (Repko, 2012 ).
For the design of a mathematical model fo r evalua-
tion of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process, the
synergy between e-business and telecommunications
is promoted as the phenome non of customer s in the
e-business process as well as bit-errors in data trans-
mission appear to be of a similar nature, namely, th e
bursty nature. Such mathematical models that con-
sider the bursty nature of bit-errors in data transmis-
sion have been successfully implemented in telecom-
munications for optimizing data communication pro-
tocols and will be adopted in this work to the buyers’
burstiness in e-business process. It should b e noted
that the present research is not limited to only two
scientific discip lines, na mely e-business and telecom-
munication, but is based on a number of scientific dis-
ciplines such as business, social media, logistics, lit-
erature, etc.
The remaining part of this paper is organized as
follows: Section 2 introduces buyers’ burstiness in e-
business process. A mathematical model for evalu-
ation of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process via
gap processes is presented in Section 3. The associ-
ated results of an empirical study will be discussed
in Section 4. Finally, some concluding remarks are
provided in Section 5.
2 BUYERS’ BURSTINESS IN
E-BUSINESS PROCESS
By e -business process, the process o f buying
and/or selling of goods and/or service s through In-
formation and Communication Techno logies ( ICT)
is mean t. In the present work, e-business process
is built within the paradigm of binary customer be-
haviour. For defining binary customer behaviour,
such an everyday e-business situation is con sid ered
as potential custo mers have to solve an issue for-
mulated alr e ady in 1603 by William Shakespeare in
his play Ha mlet such as to be, or not to be (Shake-
speare, 1825). Regard ing a modern interpretation of
potential customers’ contem porary problems, Shake-
speare’s words ma y sound as to buy, or not to buy. It
should be noted that to buy, or not to buy is consid-
ered as binary customer behavior depicted in Fig. 1.
Fig. 2 shows a typical scenario in which a buyer who
To buy
Not to buy
Binary customer behavior
Figure 1: Elements of customers’ binary option
made a purchase as the output of e-business process
is highlighted (represented by "x") within a sequenc e
of people (represented by "-") who visited an e-shop.
It should be noted tha t by e-shop visitor any customer
who seeks and examines a product without buying it
is understood. E-business process which ends without
a purchase or sale cr eates a ga p between two buyers
(Ahrens et al., 2015a). These gaps are assumed to
be statistically independent from e ach other (Ahrens
et al., 2015a).
Gap Processes for Analysing Buyers’ Burstiness in E-Business Process
79
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - x - - - - x
- - - x - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - x x - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - x - - - - x - - - - - - - - x - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - x x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - x - - - - - x - - x - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - x - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - - x
- - - x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x x x x x - - -
x - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - x - - - x - - - - - -
- - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - -
- x - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - x - x - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - x x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - -
- x - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - x - - - - - - - - - -
- - - x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - -
- - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - -
- x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - x x - - - - - - - - - - - - x - - - - - -
Figure 2: A buyer (represented by "x") within a sequence
of e-shop visitors (represented by "-")
x x - x x x - - x x x x x x - x x - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - x x x x - x - - x x - - x x - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x x x x
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x x - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - x x x x - - - - - x - - x x -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - x x x - - - - x x x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - - - - - x x x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - x x - -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
x x x x x - - - - - - - - - - - x x - - x x x x x x - x -
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
- - - x x x x x x - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Figure 3: Buyers’ burstiness (represented by "x") within a
sequence of e-shop visitors (represented by "-")
It should be noted that the terms "ga p", "ga p pro-
cess" and "gap distribution function" are used synony-
mously in th e present c ontribution. Gaps are rooted in
the Hidden Markov Models (HMM) (Gilbert, 1960;
Elliott, 1963). What has however intere sted commu-
nication protocol developers and coding theorists, are
the probabilities of error structures in any finite time
interval such as the block length or the cycle length
of a transmission pro c edure. These p robabilities are
typically difficult to present analytically. Some so-
lutions were presented by Wilhelm in 1976 resulting
in gap models such as the L-model or the A-model
(Wilhelm, 1976; Ahrens, 200 0). With these models
the bursty nature of tr a nsmission errors in ICT cou ld
be simulated. This approach based on gap processes
is now considered as a possible solution of evaluation
of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process. Fig. 4 il-
lustrates the e-business proc ess between two buyers
described by gaps. However, the buyers can be more
block interval n
buyer
sequence of people
visitor
Figure 4: Buyer’s gap for describing binary customer be-
havior
indepen dently distributed over e. g. a day or they can
appear really concentrated a s highlighted in Fig. 3.
In situations where binary decisions in e-business
processes such as selling or buying are made, not
only purchases and sales are of any interest but also
how concentrated goods are sold or bought. That is
why mo dels which focus only on the purchases and
sales with a given probability are not exact enough to
describe e-business process. In general, the buyers’
probability can serve as a clear in dicator of how of-
ten people decide to buy e. g. a pro duct. However,
the buyers’ probability does n ot de liver any infor-
mation about how concentrated the purchases and/or
sales are. Thus, buyers’ burstiness is a criterion in
e-business process. The criterion of buyers’ bursti-
ness includes suc h indicators as buyers’ probability
and buyers’ concentration (Ahrens et al., 201 5a) as
summarized in Tab. 2.
Table 2: Criterion and indicators of burstiness in e-business
process
Criterion Indicator
Buyers’ burstiness Buyers’ probability and
Buyers’ conc e ntration
For comparison p urposes of the present interdis-
ciplinary research, Tab. 3 demonstrates the criterion
and indicator of evaluation of burstiness of hot topic,
keyword, event, etc . in a sequence of batched geo-
referenc e d documents in social media. This model is
developed by a group of Japanese researchers as geo-
annotated user-generated data on social media sites is
becoming one of the most influential sources of infor-
mation (Kotozaki et al., 2015).
Table 3: Criterion and indicator of burstiness in social me-
dia
Criterion Indicator
Burstiness of hot topic or
keyword in a sequence of Locality
batched geore ferenced documents
ICE-B 2016 - International Conference on e-Business
80
This group of Japan e se researchers built their
model of evaluation of burstiness of hot topic, key-
word, etc in a sequence of batched geo referenced
docume nts on Kleinberg’s burst detection algorithm,
which is based on a queuing theory fo r dete c ting
bursty network traffic (Kotozaki et al., 2015). It
should be noted that Kleinebrg’s solution does not
provide clear distinction between within-burst and
out-of -burst records (Mai et al., 20 15).
A comparison of the model of evaluation of bursti-
ness of hot topic, keyword, etc. in social media shown
by the group of Jap anese researcher s (Kotozaki et al.,
2015) with the model for evaluation of buyers’ bursti-
ness in e-business process is reflected in Tab. 4. The
compara tive analysis of Tab. 4 reveals that Klein-
berg’s burst detection algorithm, which is based on a
queuing theory, is built on a sequ ence of phenomena
while gap distribution function is featured by sequen-
tial indep endence of g aps between two buyers.
The comparative analysis assists in concluding
that e-business process is char acterized by sequential
indepen dence of gaps between two buyers. Conse-
quently, the methodological background fo r evalua-
tion of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process should
take it into account while developing a m athemati-
cal model for evaluation of buyers’ burstiness in e-
business process.
3 MODEL FOR EVALUATION OF
BUYERS’ BURSTINESS IN
E-BUSINESS PROCESS
The term "model" is of gre at re search interest. In
pedagogy, by mode l a pa ttern is meant. In mathemat-
ics, a mode l is an interpretation of a theory. In e ngi-
neering, business and comp uter sciences, a model de-
scribes a system. Interdisciplina ry (pedagogy, ma the-
matics, engineering, business and comp uter sciences)
analysis of the term mode l leads to such a newly de-
fined notion of the term model a s a pattern of individ-
ual’s or individuals’ interpretation of a phenomenon.
Models can b e presented in a variety of forms such as
verbal, graphic, computer, e tc .
For model creation, we can define a block interval
n (identified as the probability p
B
(n) where at least
one buyer ap pears. The parameter n refer s e.g. to the
number of people en te ring a shop in a given time e. g.
a day. Choosing the para meter n = 1 the probability
p
B
(n) equals the buyers probability p
e
.
The block buyer probability p
B
(n) can be de -
scribed as a function of the buyers’ probability p
e
and
the block interval leng th n as investigated by real data
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
−2
−1.5
−1
−0.5
0
log
10
(p
B
(n))
log
10
(n)
Survey 1
Survey 2
Survey 3
Figure 5: Measured block buyer’s probabilities p
B
(n) as a
function of the interval l ength n
analysis (see Fig. 5). Here, the following approx ima-
tion is used
p
B
(n) =
p
e
· n
α
1 n n
0
1 n > n
0
(1)
Re-writing (1) yields
log
10
(p
B
(n)) = α log
10
(n) + log
10
(p
e
) . (2)
Therein, the value α denotes the linear dependence
between log
10
(p
B
(n)) and log
10
(n) and is a mea-
sure for the buyers’ concentration (also referred to
the conc e ntration of buying). The value of n
0
in-
dicates the maximum interval length to which the
linear-dependence can be maintained (see also Fig. 6).
0 1 2 3 4
−2
−1.5
−1
−0.5
0
log
10
(p
B
(n))
log
10
(n)
(1 α) = 0.0
(1 α) = 0.2
(1 α) = 0.5
Figure 6: Approximated block buyer’s probability p
B
(n) as
a function of the interval length n for different parameters
of the (1 α) at a buyer’s probability of p
e
= 10
2
The analysis of c oncentration parameters (1 α)
(referred to the concentratio n of buying) has shown
that parameters in the range of 0.0 until 0.5 describe
Gap Processes for Analysing Buyers’ Burstiness in E-Business Process
81
Table 4: Comparison of models for evaluation of burstiness in social media and e-business process
Model’s Element Social Media E-Business Process
Sequence of batched Sequential independence
Feature georefe renced of gaps
docume nts between two buyers
Kleinberg’s burst
Methodological detection algorithm Gap distribution
backgr ound based on queuing function
theory
realistic scenarios. Thereby, a parame te r (1 α) = 0
describes the situation where the potential buyers ap-
pear independently distributed from each other. With
increasing parameter (1 α) the buyers appear more
and more concentrated and the probability p
B
(n) de-
creased for a given n.
Describing the buying process b y gaps, the block
buyer probability p
B
(n) can be defined by the gap -
distribution function u(k) = P(X k), which de-
scribes the probability of a gap larger than k, as high-
lighted in Fig. 7. With the assumption that the dis-
tances (gaps k) between neighboring buyers are sta-
tistically independent from eac h other, the buyers’
characteristic, namely the occurrence of bursty buy-
ers, is defined by the buyers’ gap-distribution function
u(k) = P(X k) completely. The approach
p
B
(n) =
p
e
·
n1
k=0
u(k) 1 n n
0
1 n > n
0
(3)
can be used to develop the buyer’s gap distribution
function u(k) for the buyers’ gaps step by step. Com-
paring (1) an d (3), one gets:
n1
k=0
u(k) = n
α
1 n n
0
(4)
and for the searc hed error-gap distribution u(k) we
yield step by step:
n = 1 : u(0) = 1
n = 2 : u(0) + u(1) = 2
α
n = 3 : u(0) + u(1) + u(2) = 3
α
··· : ··· = ···
n n
0
: u(0) + u(1 ) + ···+ u(n 1) = n
α
The buyer’s-gap distribution function u(k) results fi-
nally in
u(k) =
(k + 1)
α
k
α
0 k < n
0
0 k n
0
(5)
Re-writing of u(k) leads to the buyers-gap density
function v(k) = P(X = k), which de scribes the prob-
ability of a gap X equal to k:
u(k) = v(k) + v(k + 1) + v(k + 2) + ···
u(k + 1) = v(k + 1) + v(k + 2) + · · ·
and by calculating the d ifference between u(k) and
u(k + 1) the buyers-g ap density function v(k) =
P(X = k) ca n be obtained
v(k) = u(k) u(k + 1) . (6)
Assuming that the buyers are independently dis-
tributed, i.e. (1 α) = 0, and using equation (5) and
(6) one gets the following re sult for the buyers-gap
density function v(k):
v(k) =
1 k = (n
0
1)
0 k 6= (n
0
1)
(7)
With this result, the disadvantage of the model setup
becomes evident. The model setup defined in (1)
leads to a deterministic buyers-gap process. In sit-
uations, wh e re the buyers appear concentrated, i.e.
(1 α) > 0, one can a lso find an enlarged value at
v(n
0
1). This error leads to engraving inaccuracies
in the simulation process. The reason is the disconti-
nuity at n = n
0
in equation (1). A modification of this
model setup is necessary.
The following so lution can be assumed: The lin-
ear increases of log
10
(p
B
(n)) can only be accepted
for sma ll parameters of n. The value of log
10
(p
B
(n))
has to change steadily into the value lo g
10
(p
B
(n)) = 0
for larger n. To the minimization of the model inac -
curacy at v(n
0
1) equation (5) has to be multiplied
by the value e
β k
. The m odification of the model
approa c h is highlighted in Fig. 8 with respect to the
block buyer’s probability p
B
(n).
For the buyers-g a p distribution function u(k) the
following expression arises:
u(k) = ((k + 1)
α
k
α
) · e
β·k
0 k (8)
with
lim
k
e
β·k
= 0 β > 0 (9)
ICE-B 2016 - International Conference on e-Business
82
block interval
n = 3
P(1 buyer on position 1)
=
st
p u(0)
e
P(1 buyer on position 2)
=
st
p u(1)
e
P(1 buyer on position 3)
=
st
p u(2)
e
buyer
with p
e
Figure 7: Calculating the block-error probability p
B
(n) using the error-gap distribution function u(k)
0 1 2 3 4
−2
−1.5
−1
−0.5
0
log
10
(p
B
(n))
log
10
(n)
Eq.(1)
Proposed setup
Figure 8: Approximated r el ationship between the probabil-
ity p
B
(n) and the block interval n for different parameters
of the (1 α)
and
β p
e
1/α
. (10)
Fig. 9 illustrates the buyers-gap distribution func-
tion u(k) for different parameters (1 α) assum-
ing a buyer’s probability of p
e
= 10
2
. The resul-
tant buyers-g a p density function v(k) is depicted in
Fig. 10. With these modifications, the buyers char-
acteristic can be modeled by two parameters (the
buyer’s probab ility p
e
and the buyer’s concentration
value (1 α)).
4 EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
The present part of the co ntribution demonstrates
the design, results and fin dings of the e mpirical study.
0 20 40 60 80 100
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
u(k)
n
(1 α) = 0.0
(1 α) = 0.2
(1 α) = 0.5
Figure 9: Buyers-gap distribution function u(k) for different
parameters of the (1 α) at a buyer’s probability of p
e
=
10
2
The design of the study comprises the purpose and
question, materials and m ethodology.
The emp irical study was aimed at evaluating the
buyers’ burstine ss in a e-business process. It should
be noted that for the empirical study’s purposes, by
e-business process, the process of buying a scientific
paper is determined. The empirical study’s question
was as follows: Is the e-business process, name ly the
online process of selling and buying a scientific paper,
characterized by buyers’ burstiness? The present em-
pirical study was c a rried out in January 2016. A naly-
sis of statistical documents of e-shop which sells sci-
entific papers was carried out.
Interpr e tive research paradigm was used in the
present empirical study. The in te rpretive paradigm
aims to understand other cultures, from the inside
Gap Processes for Analysing Buyers’ Burstiness in E-Business Process
83
0 2 4 6 8 10
10
−2
10
−1
10
0
v(k)
n
(1 α) = 0.0
(1 α) = 0.2
(1 α) = 0.5
Figure 10: Buyers-gap density function v(k) for different
parameters of the (1 α) at a buyer’s probability of p
e
=
10
2
through the use of ethnographic methods such as in-
formal interviewing, participan t observation and es-
tablishment of ethically sound relationships (Taylor
and Medina, 2013).
Explora tory research aimed at generating new
questions and hypothesis was employed in the empir-
ical study (Phillips, 2006). The exploratory method-
ology proceeds from exploration in Phase 1 through
analysis in Phase 2 to hypothesis development in
Phase 3.
The qualitatively oriented empirical study allows
the construction of only few cases (Mayring, 2004).
The cases themselves are not of interest, only the con-
clusions and transfers we c an draw from these doc-
uments (Flyvbjerg, 20 06). Selecting the cases fo r
the case study comprises use of information-oriented
docume nts, as opposed to random documents (Flyvb-
jerg, 2006). This is b ecause an average case is often
not the richest in information. I n addition, it is often
more important to clarify the deeper causes behind a
given problem and its consequences than to describe
the symptoms of the pro blem and how frequently they
occur (Flyvbjerg, 2006).
Analysis of statistical documents of e-shop which
sells scientific papers revealed that one author’s
website was visited 1161 times in 2015. From
around 100 scientific papers of this particular au-
thor, one scientific paper was bought 109 times in
2015. Fig. 11 demonstrates the monthly distribu-
tion of the purchases of this particular scientific pa-
per. Summarizing content analysis (Ma yring, 2004)
of the data reveals the buyers’ burstiness in buying an
e-product.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
0
10
20
sales
month
Figure 11: Monthly distribution of the purchases of this par-
ticular scientific paper.
5 CONCLUSIONS
The theoretical analysis of the binary customer
behaviour assists in outlining gap processes in e-
business process. The theoretical findings on the
inter-relationship between e-busine ss process, binary
customer behaviour, the buyers’ burstines and gap
processes allow determining the model for evalu-
ation of buyers’ burstiness in e-business p rocess.
The model for evaluation of buyers’ burstiness in e-
business process is based on the chosen g ap distribu-
tion function. The proposed model could be used for
both, namely simulation and detection of burstiness
of buyers. The presented mathematical model could
be used when making business decisions about the re-
sources neede d to pr ovide a serv ic e.
The empirical findings of the research allow draw-
ing the conclusion s on the buyers’ burstiness in e-
business process. The following new research qu es-
tion has been formulated: How to optimize e-business
process based on gap processes?
The present research ha s such limitations: The
inter-connections betwee n e-business process, binary
customer behaviour, the buyers’ burstines and gap
processes have been set. Another limitation is the
empirical study based on one case only. Therein, the
results of the study cannot be representative for the
whole area . Nevertheless, the results of the research,
namely the elaborated mathematical model for evalu-
ation of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process that
is based on gap processes, m ay be used as a basis of
analysis of buyers’ burstiness in e-business process. If
the results of other cases had been available for anal-
ysis, different results could h ave been attained. There
is a po ssibility to continue the study.
Further research tends to facilitate the advance-
ment of intercon nections betwe en buyers’ burstiness
and e-business process. The search for relevant meth-
ods, tools an d techniques for evaluation of buyers’
burstiness in e-business process is proposed. Fu-
ture research tends to analyse the implementation
of the elaborated m athematical model based on gap
processes for evaluation of buyers’ burstiness in e-
ICE-B 2016 - International Conference on e-Business
84
business process. A comparative research of models
for evaluation of burstiness in other scientific fields
could be carried out, too.
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