INVENTORY MANAGEMENT POLICIES OF GOLD JEWELRY
RETAILERS
Jingmin Zhang, Yongsheng Zhou, Zhe Zhou and Huanjun Yang
Beijing Technology and Business University, 100048, Beijing, China
Keywords: Gold jewelry, Inventory turns, Demand forecasting, Replenishment strategy.
Abstract: With the gradually increasing pressure of market competition and the diversification of consumers’ choices,
more and more gold jewelry retailers begin to seek the ways and means to reduce costs and improve profits,
inventory management also is given more meaning and significance. Starting from the logistics
characteristics of the gold jewelry, This article analyzes the prevalent inventory problems of gold jewelry
retailers, such as low inventory turns, inventory structural imbalance and so on, and main reasons these
problems emerge. On this basis, from supplier management, customer demand forecasting, replenishment
strategy and the goods on display and other aspects respectively, putting forward the inventory management
strategy of gold jewelry retailers.
1 INTRODUCTION
With the rapid development of China’s economic,
the increase in disposable income of residents and
the change in patterns of consumption, the demand
for luxury goods continues to grow. Under the
shadow of the financial crisis, even if the global
luxury goods consumption was significantly
decreased by 10% in general in 2009, Chinese’s
consumption of luxury goods maintained a growth
of 12%
set a record of 96 billion dollars, and
accounted for 27.5% of global market shares.
Because the gold jewelry has dual nature in both
consumption and preservation, its growth is
prominent. Therefore, the study of the inventory
management of gold jewelry has a great practical
significance.
2 CHARACTERISTICS OF GOLD
JEWELRY IN LOGISTICS
As a special stock of goods, gold jewelry has unique
characteristics in logistics that are different from the
ordinary goods. These characteristics mainly reflect
in these following areas:
2.1 Great Unit-value of Goods, More
Funds Using
Gold jewelry is mainly produced by gold, and their
purity reaches 99.95%-99.99%. With the continuous
rise in the international price of gold in recent years,
the market price of gold jewelry is also growing.
Trading price of spot gold reached a historic high of
$ 1,366 per ounce in New York Gold Exchange on
October 7, 2010, and the domestic price of gold
jewelry jumped to 366 yuan per gram. The inventory
of the high price of gold jewelry occupies the
enterprise’s more liquid capital.
2.2 Instability of the Price of Goods
Purchased price of domestic gold jewelry is based
on the international gold market price of real-time
transactions. The volatility in the international gold
price leads to unstable market price of gold jewelry.
If you encounter a significant reduction in the gold
price after the purchase, the retail price of the gold
jewelry will be reduced. Forced by market pressures,
both the retail price and the purchased price of gold
jewelry may be flat or the retail price is below the
purchased price. This situation is bound to bring a
certain degree of loss to the gold jewelry enterprises.
517
Zhang J., Zhou Y., Zhou Z. and Yang H..
INVENTORY MANAGEMENT POLICIES OF GOLD JEWELRY RETAILERS.
DOI: 10.5220/0003589005170522
In Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems (DMLSC-2011), pages 517-522
ISBN: 978-989-8425-55-3
Copyright
c
2011 SCITEPRESS (Science and Technology Publications, Lda.)
2.3 Seasonal Fluctuation in Market
Demand
The demand of gold jewelry is influenced by the
technology, style, price, cultural tradition,
consumption habit and other factors. The largest
influence comes from cultural traditions, especially
in the Spring Festival, New Year and other
important traditional festivals. In China’s traditional
culture, gold is provided with the meaning of wealth
and avoiding disadvantages, so presenting gift of
gold has gradually become a trend in the holiday or
the special day. The role of factors such as cultural
traditions, consumption habits and so on makes sales
of gold jewelry obvious and seasonal volatility.
2.4 The Safety Management of Goods
is the Core of its Logistics
Management
Gold jewelry has strong liquidity, so the safety of
gold jewelry is the core of its logistics process. The
gold jewelry must be stored in the safe, and need the
specialist for custody,both in the process of
transportation and in the storage period.
3 PERFORMANCE OF GOLD
JEWELRY RETAILERS
INVENTORY PROBLEM
3.1 Low Inventory Turns
Inventory is the core asset of gold jewelry retailers,
while a large proportion of the cost of business
operations comes from holding stock. Under normal
circumstances, Inventory complement should be
based on the premise that sales are needed and
product backlog is nonexistent, and the aim of the
inventory reduction is to accelerate inventory
turnover but not affect the sales. But through the
investment of gold jewelry retailers we can find that
the prevalent inventory problems of gold jewelry
retailers are high inventory levels, big money
occupation and low inventory turnover.
3.2 Inventory Structural Imbalance
According to the different materials of gold jewelry,
they can be divided into jewelry gold, K gold
jewelry, K platinum jewelry, gold jewelry covering
with gold leaf and gilded gold jewelry; according to
their different functions, they can be divided into
rings, necklaces, earrings, bracelets,bangles,etc. In
addition, each species can be designed in different
colors, patterns and so on. Therefore, gold jewelry is
different from gold bars, gold coins and other
offerings with a simple store of value. Besides a
store of value, gold jewelry also has a strong
function of consumption. The market demand of
gold jewelry with different functions, color and style
exists significant differences. And most gold jewelry
retailers often appear unreasonable phenomena that
selling goods are out of stock and slow-moving
goods are overstocked.
4 REASONS FOR GOLD
JEWELRY RETAILERS’
INVENTORY PROBLEMS
The reasons for inventory structural imbalances and
the low rate of turnover relate to many aspects, and
the most important reasons are as follows:
4.1 Competitive Relationships of
Supplier
Goods of gold jewelry retailers depend on a steady
stream of supply from supplier. Maintaining a long-
term cooperation with upstream suppliers is to
ensure the supply of goods and meet the customers’
needs. But through the investment of gold jewelry
retailers we can find that most domestic companies
still regard suppliers as their competitors, and strive
by squeezing suppliers to obtain high profits. In
order to obtain lower prices, enterprises replace
suppliers frequently, resulting in the relations
between suppliers and marketing enterprises stay in
the short trading relationship. In such a short
framework of supplier relationships, in order to
prevent out of stock, marketing enterprises have to
hold a large amount of inventory. Statistics show
that the lower offer of goods, the greater probability
of its occurrence of quality and process defects,
resulting in the goods also increase the risk of
backlog.
4.2 Empirical Commodity
Procurement Policy
Since the sales companies can not accurately grasp
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the time and numbers that customers need for gold
jewelry, they can only use the management strategy
of “several times to replenish stocks”, through the
maintenance of certain inventory levels ensuring the
stochastic demand of the market. At the same time,
because the gold jewelry that gold jewelry retailers
sell has relatively small difference in qualities,
styles, varieties and so on, the customer loyalty is
low. In order to avoid losing customers due to
shortages, many companies can only take a more
conservative strategy of procurement of goods, with
sales experience of sales and understanding of the
market, inevitably resulting in a phenomenon that
procurement exceeds the actual needs of the market,
which causes high inventory levels. C. Simple and
extensive inventory policy
Many retailers lack scientific forecasts of
customer demand, so inventory replenishment often
choose the method of periodic replenishment,that
means enterprises inspect and order all types of gold
jewelry on a regular basis (monthly), and order
quantity basically unchanged from last month’s
sales. This ordering strategy has advantages in
simple operation and better stock control, so it is
favoured by gold jewelry sales firms. However, this
ordering policy has ignored the differences on
demand of species so that it is easy to produce
unreasonable consequences on the stock structure.
D. Non-standard inventory management
Many gold jewelry retailers ignore the
classification management of goods in the
storehouse. They often only records the types of
storage products, storage time, quantity (weight) of
goods and price and other simple information. The
original management method can only meet the
basic requirements of the financial aspects, but has
no benefit of reducing inventory levels, improving
fund efficiency and increasing their sales revenue.
5 INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
POLICIES OF GOLD JEWELRY
RETAILERS
5.1 Establishing Long-term Strategic
Partnerships with Suppliers
Enterprises must continue to enrich the product
categories, optimize inventory and improve
inventory control structure in order to meet
consumers’ demand. Consequently, to strengthen
communication and cooperation with suppliers is the
basic strategy of rapid response to customers’
demand, reducing stock and increasing the
efficiency in the use of funds.
The size, strength and business strategy of
suppliers directly affects the retailers management
with a supply chain. Therefore, it is important to
select suppliers carefully to improve overall
competitiveness of gold jewelry supply chain.
Supplier selection is needed to be based on the
comprehensive assessment. Multi-factor selection
method to select gold jewelry suppliers is a common
method. The method chooses the gold jewelry price
level, the capability of supplier’s design and
development, the quality control system, financial
status and the public image, etc. as considerate
factors in evaluating suppliers according to their
own requirements and characteristics of gold
jewelry, and assigns the appropriate weight
according to the importance of the various factors.
Selecting the suppliers at all levels of enterprises
through comprehensive evaluation scores of each
supplier.
Choice of supplier evaluation is completed, the
enterprises can establish different degrees of
cooperation with suppliers based on the results of
assessment. In the process of establishing
cooperative relationship, the signing of cooperation
agreements and the standardization of process are
very important. Therefore, it is necessary for
enterprises to establish supplier management
department that is specifically responsible for the
whole process work of supplier selection,
evaluation, management and so on.
5.2 Scientific Forecasts Demand
Scientific forecasts of future demand are essential to
an inventory manager’s decision-making and
planning processes. Scientific demand forecast is not
only effective in reducing inventory levels, but also
timely adjust the entire inventory management
system according to the change of future demand.
The demand for gold jewelry is influenced by the
income levels of resident and the commodity prices.
Table1 is a company’s statistics about the gold
jewelry sales, average price and per capita
disposable income of urban residents from February
2009 to February 2010. Based on these data,
companies can predict future sales condition through
building the prediction model.
INVENTORY MANAGEMENT POLICIES OF GOLD JEWELRY RETAILERS
519
5.2.1 The Establishment of the Model
The disposable income of urban residents and the
price of gold jewelry are the important factors that
affect sales. Now, assume that the sales of y, the
monthly disposable
income of urban residents of
1
x
and the retail price
of gold jewelry have a linear relationship that can be
used a linear regression model (assuming a
significance level α = 0.05):
22110
xxy
i
β
β
β
++=
5.2.2 The Parameter Estimation
Using the least squares method, parameter estimator
can be obtained.
Table 1: an enterprise’s sales related data and statistics of
disposable income of urban residents.
Month
per capita
disposable
income (
)
retail
price
()
sales(
)
2009.02 2050 215 163927.17
2009.03 2165 220 165320.69
2009.04 2204 225 165767.42
2009.05 2153 225 165913.36
2009.06 2146 230 165497.23
2009.07 2161 235 165829.52
2009.08 2183 238 166535.27
2009.09 2130 243 166369.85
2009.10 2275 250 167897.54
2009.11 2250 265 165248.52
2009.12 2172 288 161300.29
2010.01 2667 283 168919.26
2010.02 2668 283 168946.15
Source: The website of Beijing Statistics Bureau and the
corporate sales reports.
9.8548.512.5151185
210
===
β
β
β
According to
2
RSS
R
ESS
=
and
2
1
2
2
1
F
v
R
v
R
=•
, we know
14.14F0.74,R
2
==
.
And statistics of T. respectively are
1
T =5.22,
2
T =-3.00.
The result of the regression analysis is:
y=151185.5+12.58
1
x -54.89
2
x .
5.2.3 Model Checking
(1) Economic test
One item coefficient
1
β
=12.58, indicates that the
monthly disposable income of urban residents
increases 1 million, sales could increase 12.58 yuan;
2
β
=-54.89 shows that retail prices increases 1
million, sales decrease 54.89 yuan. The data are
consistent with the general economic law.
(2) Statistical significance tests
The significance test of parameters
In this set of data, statistics of T. respectively are
1
T
=5.22,
2
T
=-3.00. For a given significance level
α
=0.05, checking t distribution table ,we obtain its
critical value
025.0
t 13=2.16, and because of
1
T
=5.22>
025.0
t (13)=2.16 and
2
T
=3.00>
025.0
t (13)=2.160,so we
refuse
01 2
H0 0and
ββ
=
=C
, which show the disposable
income of urban residents and the retail price of gold
jewelry have a significant impact on the sales.
Goodness of fit test
In this set of data,
2
R =0.739489, indicates that the
explanatory power of the sample regression equation
is 73.95%.At the same time ,in the total variation in
sales of y, the explanatory variables
1
x that is the
disposable income of urban residents and
2
x that is
the retail prices of gold jewelry are in the
interpretation of 74%, that is, changes in the
enterprise sales by 74% can be explained by the
sample regression equation, so the model goodness
of fit is higher.
F-value test
In this set of data, F=14.19.For a given significance level
α
=0.05,check its critical value in F distribution
table.
The degree of freedom is
1
v =3,
2
v =9,
P(F>6.99)=0.05, F=14.19>6.99, so
we refuse the
assumption
0H
210
β
β
,
which shows that all
explanatory
variables
1
x
2
x has a significant
impact on the explained variable y in the regression
equation, that is, the general significance of the
equation is strong.
5.2.4 Forecast
After testing on the parameters and the equations,
we can draw the binary regression prediction
equation:
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y=151185.5+12.58
1
x
-54.89
2
x
5.3 Optimizing Replenishment Policy
As the value and weight of gold jewelry are higher
and the amounts of funds occupied are bigger, the
inventory carrying cost is higher than the ordering
cost. At the same time, the high profit margins of
gold jewelry makes stockout cost relatively high
.Accordingly, the basic objective of inventory
replenishment policy of gold jewelry is the
enterprise reduces inventory levels to an extreme,
ensuring stockout not happen. For these reasons, it is
more appropriate that gold jewelry retailers adopt
the continuous replenishment strategy. Continuous
replenishment strategy determines a reasonable level
of replenishment of inventory and replenishment
quantity according to the needs of different
commodities and replenishment time. Once the
inventory level is less than reorder point, the
enterprise immediately issue orders for the economic
order quantities; otherwise, there is no
replenishment.
It should be
noted that the replenishment strategy
should be evaluated and adjusted regularly or
irregularly ,based on customer demand, business
conditions and changes in the external environment.
5.4 Regulating the Display of Gold
Jewelry and Library Management
5.4.1 Scientific Design of the Goods on
Display
The display of gold jewelry of all varieties directly
impact on its sales, and then influence the level of
business inventories. According to the statistical
analysis of different types of gold jewelry market,
the profitability of various gold jewelry from strong
to weak is: necklaces, pendants, rings, bracelets,
ornaments, earrings (fall), and gold products.
When a customer go into the store, he does not like
the corner of the store generally, and does not want
to go back, but he likes to take tortuous detours. And
consumers prefer the counterclockwise direction of
flow, so counterclockwise at the entrance is a very
good display position for products. In addition, the
location on the wall that the direction of the master
stream is as high as line of sight, and the display
surface of view of the center point radiation angle of
65° each side are ideal locations of goods.According
to the characteristics of the customer purchase
behavior, combining with the different profitability
of the gold jewelry of all varieties, the goods of
higher purchase frequency such as necklaces and
pendants can be put at the entrance on the counter-
clockwise ,and rings, bracelets and other varieties
can be along the counter clock wise direction of the
display. Gold ornaments, coins and other
memorabilia display goods can be display on the
direction of the master stream ,which are on the wall
and the location of line of sight, and as high as the
center point of view of radiation angle of 65° each
side of the display surface. Of course, the gold
jewelry on display position is not fixed, and also
make the appropriate adjustments, according to
season, seasonal regulations, promotional and other
factors.
5.4.2 The Classification Management of
Goods in the Library
Enhancing the classification management of goods
in the library is important aspect on controlling
inventory levels, improving cash flow rates and
ensuring the normal sales of goods. For this reason,
the gold jewelry in the library management can use
ABC management principles.According to the
amount of annual sales of varieties of goods, the
goods are divided into three categories of A, B, C.
The A type goods’ proportion of the annual sales
amount is about 80%, but the number of their
species accounts for about 10%.After classification
of inventory items, you need to take different
management practices and procurement policies of
all kinds of inventory.
5.5 Strengthening Management of the
Old Gold Materials and Defective
Goods
In order to attract customers and promote product
sales, many gold jewelry retailers develop a "traded-
in" business. If not be handled in time
the gold
business inventory increased by the "traded-in"
business and inventory of the defective products in
the procurement process will not only squeeze the
enterprise storage space, but also influence the
efficiency in the use of funds.
For the second-hand jewelry enterprises acquired in
"traded-in" business, first of all, their quality must be
conducted to determine its gold whether comply
with the standard of thousands of gold. Second,
simple packaging of old material to avoid confusion
INVENTORY MANAGEMENT POLICIES OF GOLD JEWELRY RETAILERS
521
with other jewelry. Finally, they will be wrapped to
the good suppliers in the next order.
6 CONCLUSIONS
Solving gold jewelry inventory problem needs the
basic concept of supply chain management as the
guide, and we should plan overall and control
comprehensive from the aspects, such as keeping the
strategic partnerships with suppliers, scientific
forecasts of future demand, a reasonable choice of
order strategy, scientific of goods on display,
standardization of reverse logistics and so on.
REFERENCES
Xi Wen Li, Bin Li, Inventory Control and Management,
Beijing: Mechanical Industry Press, 2005.3.
Baoren Li, Econometrics,Beijing: Mechanical Industry
Press, 2008.2
Minggui Sun, Consumption Logistics Management,
Beijing: China Social Sciences Publishing House,
2005.5.
Cai Feng Gao, Purchase,sales,storage of the store
merchandise management, Beijing: China
Development Press, 2009.
Zhihong Fan, store merchandise management, Beijing:
Mechanical Industry Press, 2006.
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