4 DISCUSSIONS
After a comparison with the background of the study
presented, it was observed that the tendencies to
sediment or erode in some places along the coast of
Callao Bay have been maintained despite the
presence of extreme factors such as the El Niño
phenomenon. As mentioned by Teves and San
Román (2012) study, the area between the mouths of
the Rímac and Chillón rivers (Sector 2 and Sector 3)
has a large presence of sediments that are transported
towards the northern part of the mouths due to marine
currents (Teves & San Román, 2012). Similarly, the
creation of the trend map of the present study showed
this accretion between the mouths and the beaches
north to the area of the beginning of the cliffs, with a
notable increase for the year 2017; however, for
subsequent years, sedimentation rates were
decreasing minimally.
On the other hand, erosion is a very recurrent
process in the surroundings of “Mirador Playa
Pachacutec” in sector 6 (Figure 4), this largely due to
the steep slopes that occur in the place (Teves & San
Román, 2012). The trend map (Figure 8) created
shows high erosion rates that are decreasing until
showing slight sedimentation rates in certain parts of
the sector 6.
In addition, the R
2
factor obtained from the
historical analysis (Figure 8), shows a trend to present
accretion as it gets closer to 1 and the data present a
constant increase, otherwise, while the annual data
shows more negative points of erosion, the factor is
almost 0.
Likewise, the results obtained from this study
have the same sedimentation and coastal erosion
trends as Luijendijk's Aquamonitor interface. In this
study, the author analyzed the trends of coastlines
along the world's continents, showing very general
rates of coastal dynamics that could be taken as a base
for the present study. (Luijendijk et al., 2018). The
comparisons at the total average level are:
This study shows a sedimentation rate of
0.13m/yr, 11.85m/yr, 1.96m/yr, 2.47m/yr,
5.83m/yr and 0.38m/yr with a difference with the
Aquamonitor of 0.26m/yr, 4.50m/yr, 0.37m/yr, -
3.31m/yr, -3.09m/yr and -1.00m/yr for sectors 1,
2,3,4,5 and 6 respectively.
On the one hand, it is worth mentioning that the
Aquamonitor presents data from 1984 to 2016 and
is a global level study. On the other hand, our
study presents data from 2001 to 2020. The
differences in rates in sector 2 are mainly due to
the occurrence of the 2017 El Niño phenomenon
because there was a sediment peak of 60 meters.
5 CONCLUSIONS
From the analysis of the sectorization and in general
lines of the Callao Bay, it was observed that the trend
of the coastline is to present a slight sedimentation
with average rates between 3.77 to 4.2 m/year. In
addition, sector 2; showed a moderate and constant
trend throughout the period that, for the year 2017
suffered an accumulation of sediment that reached up
to 60 meters offshore. This is due to the presence of
the extreme phenomenon called El Niño, which
generated an accumulation of sediment on the
beaches located north of the mouths of the Rímac and
Chillón rivers.
The temporal analysis shows that sector 1, which
includes the Perú Port Terminal, has remained
constant when compared to the other sectors. The
rates for the 20-year period have had a minimal but
progressive increase. Likewise, sectors 2 and 5 have
high average sedimentation rates, which have been
decreasing in lower values for the last 3 years, since
the El Niño phenomenon.
Sector 6 presents high and constant erosion
values, due mostly to the presence of cliffs and high
slopes in the area; however, the average rate of the
sector is to present a slight sedimentation because a
large percentage of the rates are positive (Figure 7).
As mentioned above, a Linear Regression Ratio
statistical analysis was performed, which was
obtained manually and with the application of the
DSAS extension. It was observed that both methods
show similar trends in the long term. On the one hand,
the manual calculation allows to see the annual
evolution of changes in average rates, while the
DSAS shows an average rate for the 20-year period.
In other words, the extension applies statistical
methods and takes into consideration the shoreline
variations in each confidence interval.
Although the study manages to present erosion or
accretion trends for the study area, there is an error
range of 5 to 30 meters due to the different resolutions
of the satellites used. This affects manual shoreline
detection and subsequent statistical analysis.
Therefore, the use of higher resolution satellite
images or digital elevation models will allow an
automatic extraction of the shoreline and,
consequently, will improve the extracted data with a
smaller error interval than the one presented by the
study.