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Authors: Armando Sánchez Vargas ; Carlos Gay Garcia ; Debora Martínez Ventura ; Ana Liz Herrera Merino and Bernardo A. Bastien Olvera

Affiliation: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico

Keyword(s): Agent-based Modeling Simulation, Urban Growth, Social Welfare, Land Management, Cost-Benefit Analysis.

Abstract: This study shows the Simulation of an Agent Based Model for Land Use Change (SIMBACUS) developed on the Netlogo platform (Wilensky, 1999) for the period of 2010-2030. The model studies the interaction of individual behavior with environmental characteristics considering socioeconomic, demographic, climate and public policy aspects of Pachuca de Soto (Hidalgo). The simulation’s dynamism is based on population growth and the Cobb-Douglas utility function, which determines the optimal decisions of individuals. The results indicate that in 2030 the municipality would have 303,773 inhabitants, the urban area would grow to 21 km2 and the implementation of a land management program would have a positive impact on social welfare and the permanence of natural resources.

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Paper citation in several formats:
Vargas, A.; Garcia, C.; Ventura, D.; Merino, A. and Olvera, B. (2016). Agent based Modeling Simulation for Land Use Change and Cost-Benefit Analysis of Land Management Policies. In Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2016) - MSCCES; ISBN 978-989-758-199-1; ISSN 2184-2841, SciTePress, pages 368-375. DOI: 10.5220/0006017203680375

@conference{mscces16,
author={Armando Sánchez Vargas. and Carlos Gay Garcia. and Debora Martínez Ventura. and Ana Liz Herrera Merino. and Bernardo A. Bastien Olvera.},
title={Agent based Modeling Simulation for Land Use Change and Cost-Benefit Analysis of Land Management Policies},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2016) - MSCCES},
year={2016},
pages={368-375},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0006017203680375},
isbn={978-989-758-199-1},
issn={2184-2841},
}

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Simulation and Modeling Methodologies, Technologies and Applications (SIMULTECH 2016) - MSCCES
TI - Agent based Modeling Simulation for Land Use Change and Cost-Benefit Analysis of Land Management Policies
SN - 978-989-758-199-1
IS - 2184-2841
AU - Vargas, A.
AU - Garcia, C.
AU - Ventura, D.
AU - Merino, A.
AU - Olvera, B.
PY - 2016
SP - 368
EP - 375
DO - 10.5220/0006017203680375
PB - SciTePress

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