Authors:
Latifa Ben Arfa Rabai
1
;
Yan Zhi Bai
2
and
Ali Mili
2
Affiliations:
1
Université de Tunis, Tunisia
;
2
New Jersey Institute of Technology, United States
Keyword(s):
Bottom Up Approach, Intrinsic factors, Extrinsic factors, Historical trends, Software technology trends, Successful trends.
Related
Ontology
Subjects/Areas/Topics:
Cross-Feeding between Data and Software Engineering
;
Enterprise Software Technologies
;
Model-Driven Engineering
;
Software Economics
;
Software Engineering
;
Software Engineering Methods and Techniques
Abstract:
Many decision-makers in industry, government and academia routinely make decisions whose outcome depends on the evolution of software technology trends. Even though the stakes of these decisions are usually very high, decision makers routinely depend on expert opinions and qualitative assessments to model the evolution of software technology. In this paper, we report on our ongoing work to build quantitative models of the evolution of software technology trends. In particular, we discuss how we took three trend-dependent evolutionary models and merged them into a single (trend-independent) model.