Introduction of a Bayesian Network Builder Algorithm - Personalized Infectious Disease Risk Prediction

Retno Aulia Vinarti, Lucy Hederman

2018

Abstract

We introduce an algorithm for auto-generating a Bayesian Network (BN) structure from a knowledge-base represented as an ontology with rules. The ontology and rules represent the assumptions of infectious disease risk in the epidemiology domain. The resulting BN will be the computational model for an infectious disease risk prediction service. The BN structure consists of one child node, to represent the chosen infectious disease, with multiple parent nodes to represent the contexts which affect infection risk. Thus, this BN generation algorithm is constrained to a relatively simple structure. The algorithm generates a BN using the API of BN modeler software, Netica-J. We evaluate two aspects of the generated BN: the network structure and the conditional probability tables (CPTs). The validation result shows that the algorithm generates an isomorphic BN compared with the ontology and the CPTs are populated with consistent ratios from epidemiological rules. Furthermore, the generated BN has resulted in a personalized infectious disease risk prediction based on the personal attributes and their environments.

Paper Citation

in Harvard Style

Vinarti R. and Hederman L. (2018). Introduction of a Bayesian Network Builder Algorithm - Personalized Infectious Disease Risk Prediction. In Proceedings of the 11th International Joint Conference on Biomedical Engineering Systems and Technologies (BIOSTEC 2018) - Volume 5: HEALTHINF; ISBN 978-989-758-281-3, SciTePress, pages 115-126. DOI: 10.5220/0006573301150126

in Bibtex Style

@conference{healthinf18,
author={Retno Aulia Vinarti and Lucy Hederman},
title={Introduction of a Bayesian Network Builder Algorithm - Personalized Infectious Disease Risk Prediction},
booktitle={Proceedings of the 11th International Joint Conference on Biomedical Engineering Systems and Technologies (BIOSTEC 2018) - Volume 5: HEALTHINF},
year={2018},
pages={115-126},
publisher={SciTePress},
organization={INSTICC},
doi={10.5220/0006573301150126},
isbn={978-989-758-281-3},
}

in EndNote Style

TY - CONF

JO - Proceedings of the 11th International Joint Conference on Biomedical Engineering Systems and Technologies (BIOSTEC 2018) - Volume 5: HEALTHINF
TI - Introduction of a Bayesian Network Builder Algorithm - Personalized Infectious Disease Risk Prediction
SN - 978-989-758-281-3
AU - Vinarti R.
AU - Hederman L.
PY - 2018
SP - 115
EP - 126
DO - 10.5220/0006573301150126
PB - SciTePress